There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. In the search of early warning signs of trouble, it’s useful to focus on the labor market, which is ...

The US economy continues to defy the recession forecasts that received much attention in the summer. The primary drivers of the economic resilience: strong growth in payrolls and consumer spending.

On paper, the United States is in an expansion, not a slump. Output keeps rising, unemployment is relatively low, and inflation has cooled from its peak. Yet for households and businesses that have ...

With risk assets at historic valuations, investors must remain nimble as leading indicators suggest smaller payroll gains and ...

A labor market chart suggests a recession could still be in the cards this year. Unemployment rate trends have predicted recessions, according to Société Générale's Albert Edwards. A silver lining may ...

Economic slowdowns are part of the cycle, but they never feel routine when jobs, paychecks and savings are on the line. I want to unpack what a recession actually is, why it matters for your household ...

As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...

The US economy continues to prove resilient despite last year's predictions of a looming recession. Friday's stronger-than-expected jobs report was the latest sign. The US economy added 353,000 jobs, ...

One of the enduring puzzles of the current economic strength is how little impact the Fed’s rate hikes seemed to have caused — not generating the recession or crisis that every previous hiking cycle ...

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